Current:Home > StocksTrendPulse|Scientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios -CapitalCourse
TrendPulse|Scientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios
PredictIQ View
Date:2025-04-08 18:42:59
A host of potential climate change catastrophes worry scientists,TrendPulse but some scenarios are so dire that experts are constantly monitoring how close we are to disaster.
This week brought some good climate news about one those scenarios in Antarctica: The so-called "Doomsday glacier" may be more stable than previously thought, according to new research published Wednesday.
The Thwaites Glacier on the vast West Antarctica Ice Sheet is commonly called the "Doomsday Glacier" because of its potential to significantly raise sea levels, inundating low-lying coastal communities and displacing millions of people.
Meanwhile, scientists keep tracking several other potential large-scale climate troublemakers. Scenarios including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Greenland ice sheet have the potential to radically reshape life on Earth in the coming years, decades or centuries.
Here's the latest:
'Doomsday glacier': Worst-case scenario is unlikely, for now
The Thwaites Glacier has been studied for years as an indicator of human-caused climate change.
In one nightmare scenario, the glacier's melt fuels a 50-foot rise in sea level. The Florida Peninsula would be submerged, save for a strip of interior high ground spanning from Gainesville to north of Lake Okeechobee, with the state's coastal cities underwater.
That scenario now looks unlikely — for now, the new study says.
"We know this extreme projection is unlikely over the course of the 21st century," said study lead author Mathieu Morlighem, a Dartmouth University professor of earth sciences, in a statement.
The good news comes with plenty of caveats. Authors stress that the accelerating loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica is nonetheless dire.
"Unfortunately, Thwaites Glacier is still going to retreat and with it most of the West Antarctic ice sheet, but not as rapidly as one scenario suggested," Morlighem told USA TODAY in an e-mail. He added that even though a rapid collapse was a "low likelihood" scenario in the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "we show is that it is even less likely than we thought."
Sea level is probably going to rise by roughly 2-3 feet by the end of the century and continue to rise after, as the ice sheets continue to melt, he told USA TODAY.
Greenland's ice sheet: A mix of good and bad news
There's been mixed news about a similarly troubling ice sheet in Greenland.
Overall, the ice sheet covers more than 656,000 square miles, and if it were to fully melt, the global sea level would rise about 20 feet, according to the National Snow and Ice Date Center.
News continues to be worrisome in Greenland, which is losing about 270 billion tons of ice per year, adding to sea level rise, NASA said. A study earlier this year found that the ice sheet in Greenland is melting faster than researchers had thought.
But a study last year found that the sheet may be more resistant to climate change than once thought.
Basically, the study found that "the worst-case scenario of ice sheet collapse and consequent sea-level rise can be avoided – and even partly reversed – if we manage to reduce the global temperatures projected for after 2100," previously said Bryn Hubbard, a professor of glaciology at Aberystwyth University in Wales.
AMOC collapse: Scientists still studying feared 'Day After Tomorrow' ocean current
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) – a large system of ocean currents that carry warm water from the tropics into the North Atlantic – could collapse by the middle of the century, or possibly any time from 2025 onward, because of human-caused climate change, a study published last year suggests.
The AMOC gained international attention in 2004 with the release of the scientifically inaccurate disaster movie "The Day After Tomorrow," which used such an ocean current shutdown as the premise of the film.
An AMOC collapse in real life could trigger rapid weather and climate changes in the U.S., Europe and elsewhere. If it were to happen, it could bring about an ice age in Europe and sea-level rise in cities such as Boston and New York, as well as more potent storms and hurricanes along the East Coast.
Another study suggests the collapse could occur by 2050, but the research is still preliminary. Earlier this year, a published study found a collapse of the current was coming at some point, but didn't offer clues as to when it could occur.
veryGood! (9447)
Related
- Dick Vitale announces he is cancer free: 'Santa Claus came early'
- Giving back during the holiday season: What you need to know to lend a helping hand
- Will & Grace Star Eric McCormack's Wife Janet Files for Divorce After 26 Years of Marriage
- It's holiday cookie baking season: Try these expert tips to make healthy cookies.
- 'Squid Game' without subtitles? Duolingo, Netflix encourage fans to learn Korean
- Paul Lynch, Irish author of 'Prophet Song,' awarded over $60K with 2023 Booker Prize
- Natalie Portman on children working in entertainment: 'I don't believe that kids should work'
- Man fatally shot in the parking lot of a Target store in the Bronx, police say
- California DMV apologizes for license plate that some say mocks Oct. 7 attack on Israel
- Millions of U.S. apples were almost left to rot. Now, they'll go to hungry families
Ranking
- Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow owns a $3 million Batmobile Tumbler
- Arrest made after 3 Palestinian college students shot in Burlington, Vermont, police say
- Is it better to take Social Security at 62 or 67? It depends.
- Jean Knight, Grammy-nominated singer of 'Mr. Big Stuff,' dies at 80: 'Iconic soulstress'
- Backstage at New York's Jingle Ball with Jimmy Fallon, 'Queer Eye' and Meghan Trainor
- Texas' new power grid problem
- Rescuers attempt manual digging to free 41 Indian workers trapped for over two weeks in tunnel
- Kathy Hilton Weighs in on Possible Kyle Richards, Mauricio Umansky Reconciliation
Recommendation
DoorDash steps up driver ID checks after traffic safety complaints
Elon Musk visits Israel to meet top leaders as accusations of antisemitism on X grow
ICC prosecutors halt 13-year Kenya investigation that failed to produce any convictions
When do babies typically start walking? How to help them get there.
Realtor group picks top 10 housing hot spots for 2025: Did your city make the list?
See the iconic Florida manatees as they keep fighting for survival
Paris mayor says she’s quitting Elon Musk’s ‘global sewer’ platform X as city gears up for Olympics
It's holiday cookie baking season: Try these expert tips to make healthy cookies.